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The US could still try to play the ethnic card in Iran

But past experience and current geopolitical realities show such a strategy is doomed to failure.

Fighters from the Kurdistan Free Life Party (PJAK), an Iranian Kurdish opposition group, are pictured near the border with Iran in Iraq's Kurdistan Region, in the outskirts of Sulaimaniya, Iraq, June 21, 2025. REUTERS/Ako Rasheed

Israel may have just pushed Iran across the nuclear line

The strikes meant to prevent Iran from going nuclear may instead push it to build the bomb.

This picture shows a building damaged in an Israeli strike on Tehran on June 13, 2025, during a wave of attacks that hit about 100 targets [Meghdad Madadi/Tasnim News via AFP]

Ibn Khaldun’s asabiyya and Bashar al-Assad’s rapid downfall

The Syrian army disintegrated in the face of the opposition offensive because of low morale and years of mismanagement.

A damaged building-sized mural of President Bashar al-Assad.

An Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities could backfire

And recent Iraqi history can tell us how. 

A car drives away from a mural showing Iraqi President Saddam Hussein on a wall of the Tammuz (Osirak) Iraqi nuclear reactor bombed by Israel during an air raid in 1981, and later hit in the 1991 Gulf War, at al-Toweitheh, some 30 kilometers (18 miles) southeast of Baghdad 09 September 2002. Iraq denied it had resumed activities at nuclear sites inspected by UN experts in the past and took the journalists on a tour to refute allegations to the contrary. AFP PHOTO/Ramzi HAIDAR (Photo by RAMZI HAIDAR / AFP)

Israel’s assassinations of Hamas and Hezbollah leaders will backfire

It seems Israel is refusing to learn from its past mistakes.

Mourners carry the coffin of assassinated Hamas political chief, Ismail Haniyeh, during his funeral ceremony in Tehran, Iran, August 1, 2024. [Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA via Reuters]

US foreign policy fails again, this time against the Houthis

The Houthis have endured a half-year of American strikes, delivering US President Biden a major foreign policy defeat.

Fire in Hodeidah port

Jordan drone strike: Is the US being pulled into another Middle East war?

Sunday’s attack that killed three US servicemen was the latest chapter in a war Trump started more than five years ago.

Tower 22

Blackwater paved the way for Wagner

The use of contractors in the US ‘war on terror’ inspired Russia and other powers to outsource war.

A former member of Blackwater joines family members, friends, and supporters of four former Blackwater security guards outside the federal court in Washington, Monday, April 13, 2015, following sentencing for four former Blackwater security guards in connection with a 2007 shooting of civilians in Iraq. U.S. District Judge Royce Lamberth sentenced Nicholas Slatten to life in prison while Paul Slough of Keller, Texas, Evan Liberty of Rochester, N.H., and Dustin Heard of Knoxville, Tenn., were convicted of manslaughter and received sentences of 30 years plus one day. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)

My plagiarised work was used to justify the war on Iraq

The chaos I feared a US-led invasion would unleash has destroyed the country I hail from.

U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell holds up a vial that he described as one that could contain anthrax, during his presentation on [Iraq] to the U.N. Security Council, in New York February 5, 2003. [Powell tried to persuade a sceptical world that Iraq is concealing it's weapons of mass destruction and that force may be necessary to disarm it.]

Why death of al-Qaeda’s Ayman al-Zawahiri will have little impact

Once the news cycle moves on, it will be business as usual for the US, the Taliban and even al-Qaeda itself.

Al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri in an FBI Most Wanted poster